Phillies at Cardinals
Last play · Nick Castellanos flies out to right fielder Jordan Walker.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
PHI 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 2 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-185 / +155
Cardinals favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yohel Pozo doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Thomas Saggese scores. (inning 5) — +15% Cardinals
5Alec Burleson walks. Yohel Pozo scores. Lars Nootbaar to 3rd. Nolan Arenado to 2nd.0–2
5Yohel Pozo doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Thomas Saggese scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
