Blue Jays at Orioles
Last play · Bo Bichette strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Orioles100%
TOR 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 3 – 2 BAL
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Orioles favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cedric Mullins doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Alan Roden. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Jordan Westburg scores. Cedric Mullins to 3rd. Cedric Mullins advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by left fielder Alan Roden. (inning 6) — +31% Orioles
7Bo Bichette grounds into a double play, second baseman Jackson Holliday to shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Ryan Mountcastle. Nathan Lukes scores. Alan Roden out at 2nd. Bo Bichette out at 1st.4–5
6Cedric Mullins doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Alan Roden. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Jordan Westburg scores. Cedric Mullins to 3rd. Cedric Mullins advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by left fielder Alan Roden.3–5
6Adley Rutschman homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.3–3
5Heston Kjerstad homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Cedric Mullins scores.3–2
3Anthony Santander homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.3–0
2Bo Bichette singles on a ground ball to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Nathan Lukes scores. Alan Roden to 2nd.2–0
1Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Bo Bichette scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
