Rockies at Padres
Last play · Ryan McMahon strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Padres100%
COL 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 0 – 6 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Padres favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Elias Díaz singles on a line drive to center fielder Mickey Moniak. Jose Iglesias scores. Jason Heyward scores. (inning 5) — +17% Padres
7Gavin Sheets homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.0–8
6Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.0–7
5Jose Iglesias singles on a ground ball to third baseman Ryan McMahon. Manny Machado scores. Gavin Sheets to 3rd. Xander Bogaerts to 2nd.0–6
5Manny Machado hits a ground-rule double (6) on a line drive down the left-field line. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.0–5
5Elias Díaz singles on a line drive to center fielder Mickey Moniak. Jose Iglesias scores. Jason Heyward scores.0–3
5Jose Iglesias singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Martini. Xander Bogaerts scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
