Rangers at Mariners
Last play · Marcus Semien grounds into a double play, second baseman Leo Rivas to first baseman Rowdy Tellez. Jonah Heim out at 2nd. Marcus Semien out at 1st.
Win probability
Mariners100%
TEX 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 3 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 4.5 ↑
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Mariners favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cal Raleigh homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Dylan Moore scores. (inning 8) — +34% Mariners
8Cal Raleigh homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Dylan Moore scores.3–5
6Josh Jung homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Josh Smith scores.3–3
4J.P. Crawford singles on a line drive to left fielder Josh Smith. Leo Rivas scores.1–3
4Josh Jung singles on a pop up to right fielder Luke Raley. Adolis García scores.1–2
2Rowdy Tellez homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
1Jorge Polanco homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
