Royals at Guardians
Last play · MJ Melendez grounds out, second baseman Gabriel Arias to first baseman Carlos Santana.
Win probability
Guardians100%
KC 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 2 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Guardians favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gabriel Arias singles on a ground ball to second baseman Michael Massey. Carlos Santana scores. Kyle Manzardo to 2nd. (inning 4) — +16% Guardians
9Maikel Garcia out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.3–6
9Salvador Perez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Angel Martínez. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Vinnie Pasquantino to 2nd.2–6
8Steven Kwan flies out to center fielder Kyle Isbel.1–6
8Angel Martínez hits a ground-rule double (2) on a fly ball to left-center field. Kyle Manzardo scores. Jhonkensy Noel scores. Gabriel Arias to 3rd.1–5
6Gabriel Arias homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.1–3
5José Ramírez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Bo Naylor scores.1–2
4Gabriel Arias singles on a ground ball to second baseman Michael Massey. Carlos Santana scores. Kyle Manzardo to 2nd.1–1
4Vinnie Pasquantino homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
