Pirates at Reds
Last play · Endy Rodríguez flies out to center fielder TJ Friedl.
Win probability
Reds100%
PIT 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 1 – 4 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Reds favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Elly De La Cruz hits a grand slam (3) to left center field. Santiago Espinal scores. TJ Friedl scores. Blake Dunn scores. (inning 3) — +32% Reds
7Jose Trevino reaches on a fielder's choice. Noelvi Marte scores. Jake Fraley to 2nd. Missed catch error by second baseman Enmanuel Valdez, assist to shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa.2–5
7Enmanuel Valdez doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Blake Dunn. Alexander Canario scores.2–4
5Alexander Canario homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.1–4
3Elly De La Cruz hits a grand slam (3) to left center field. Santiago Espinal scores. TJ Friedl scores. Blake Dunn scores.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
