Nationals at Marlins
Last play · James Wood strikes out swinging, catcher Liam Hicks to first baseman Matt Mervis.
Win probability
Marlins100%
WSH 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 3 – 6 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Marlins favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Bell singles on a fly ball to left fielder Griffin Conine. James Wood scores. Keibert Ruiz scores. Nathaniel Lowe to 2nd. (inning 4) — -25% Nationals
7Nathaniel Lowe grounds into a force out, shortstop Xavier Edwards to second baseman Otto Lopez. James Wood scores. Keibert Ruiz out at 2nd. Nathaniel Lowe to 1st.6–7
7Keibert Ruiz singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Griffin Conine. Jacob Young scores. James Wood to 3rd.5–7
6Kyle Stowers doubles (2) on a fly ball to center fielder Jacob Young. Xavier Edwards scores.4–7
6Amed Rosario singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Griffin Conine. Keibert Ruiz scores. Nathaniel Lowe to 2nd.4–6
5Griffin Conine doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Alex Call. Kyle Stowers scores. Eric Wagaman scores.3–6
5Eric Wagaman doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder James Wood. Xavier Edwards scores. Kyle Stowers to 3rd.3–4
4Josh Bell singles on a fly ball to left fielder Griffin Conine. James Wood scores. Keibert Ruiz scores. Nathaniel Lowe to 2nd.3–3
4Nathaniel Lowe walks. Alex Call scores. James Wood to 3rd. Keibert Ruiz to 2nd.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
