Rockies at Padres
Last play · Kris Bryant flies out sharply to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr.
Win probability
Padres100%
COL 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 0 – 2 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+205 / -250
Padres favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 1) — +13% Padres
5Jason Heyward homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
1Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
