Tigers at Twins
Last play · Byron Buxton called out on strikes.
Win probability
Twins0%
DET 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 2 – 0 MIN
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Twins favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Torkelson homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Kerry Carpenter scores. (inning 6) — -13% Tigers
6Spencer Torkelson homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Kerry Carpenter scores.4–0
4Justyn-Henry Malloy out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Matt Wallner. Spencer Torkelson scores. Riley Greene to 3rd.2–0
1Spencer Torkelson out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Matt Wallner. Zach McKinstry scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
