Phillies at Cardinals
Last play · Pedro Pagés flies out to left fielder Max Kepler.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
PHI 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 3 – 0 STL
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-185 / +155
Cardinals favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Castellanos doubles (4) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar, deflected by center fielder Victor Scott II. Bryce Harper scores. Kyle Schwarber scores. (inning 1) — -22% Phillies
7Trea Turner singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Alec Bohm scores.4–1
6Willson Contreras singles on a line drive to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Luken Baker scores.3–1
5Bryson Stott doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Brandon Marsh scores.3–0
1Nick Castellanos doubles (4) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar, deflected by center fielder Victor Scott II. Bryce Harper scores. Kyle Schwarber scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
