Blue Jays at Orioles
Last play · Ramón Laureano called out on strikes.
Win probability
Orioles0%
TOR 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 2 – 4 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Orioles favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Myles Straw singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Jordan Westburg. Andrés Giménez scores. Ernie Clement to 2nd. (inning 10) — -26% Blue Jays
10Myles Straw singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Jordan Westburg. Andrés Giménez scores. Ernie Clement to 2nd.7–6
8Bo Bichette singles on a line drive to left fielder Heston Kjerstad. Ernie Clement scores.6–6
8Davis Schneider grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Ryan Mountcastle. Tyler Heineman scores. Ernie Clement to 3rd.5–6
8Alejandro Kirk doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Heston Kjerstad. Andrés Giménez scores.4–6
6Jackson Holliday reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Heston Kjerstad scores. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Jackson Holliday to 2nd.3–6
6Myles Straw singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Ernie Clement scores.3–4
4Tyler O'Neill homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.2–4
3Adley Rutschman reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Andrés Giménez. Gunnar Henderson scores.2–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
