Pirates at Reds
Last play · Oneil Cruz grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Jeimer Candelario.
Win probability
Reds100%
PIT 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 4 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -180
Reds favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Santiago Espinal singles on a fly ball to right fielder Alexander Canario. Austin Wynns scores. TJ Friedl scores. (inning 3) — +23% Reds
5Elly De La Cruz singles on a fly ball to right fielder Alexander Canario. TJ Friedl scores. Santiago Espinal to 2nd.0–4
5TJ Friedl grounds into a force out, first baseman Endy Rodríguez to shortstop Tsung-Che Cheng. Noelvi Marte scores. Austin Wynns out at 2nd. TJ Friedl to 1st.0–3
3Santiago Espinal singles on a fly ball to right fielder Alexander Canario. Austin Wynns scores. TJ Friedl scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
