Royals at Guardians
Last play · Kyle Manzardo strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians0%
KC 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 4 – 2 CLE
Royals led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 56.6% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Guardians favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Maikel Garcia doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Freddy Fermin scores. Kyle Isbel scores. (inning 5) — -27% Royals
5Maikel Garcia doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Freddy Fermin scores. Kyle Isbel scores.4–2
4Salvador Perez homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.2–2
2Daniel Schneemann doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder MJ Melendez. Jhonkensy Noel scores. Daniel Schneemann scores. Throwing error by shortstop Bobby Witt Jr.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
