Rangers at Mariners
Last play · Jonah Heim grounds into a double play, shortstop J.P. Crawford to first baseman Rowdy Tellez. Jake Burger out at 2nd. Jonah Heim out at 1st.
Win probability
Mariners100%
TEX 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 5 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 4.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Mariners favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luke Raley doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Josh Smith. Randy Arozarena scores. (inning 3) — +17% Mariners
9Jake Burger singles on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Josh Jung scores.2–9
7Rowdy Tellez doubles (1) on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Cal Raleigh scores. Luke Raley scores. Rowdy Tellez out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Leody Taveras to shortstop Corey Seager to third baseman Josh Jung.1–9
7Luke Raley singles on a ground ball to second baseman Marcus Semien. J.P. Crawford scores. Julio Rodríguez scores. Cal Raleigh to 3rd.1–7
5Cal Raleigh homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.1–5
3Luke Raley doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Josh Smith. Randy Arozarena scores.1–4
3Jorge Polanco out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Leody Taveras. Julio Rodríguez scores.1–2
3Julio Rodríguez triples (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Josh Smith. J.P. Crawford scores.1–1
1Josh Smith singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Marcus Semien scores. Corey Seager to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
