Braves at Rays
Last play · Bryan De La Cruz strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays100%
ATL 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 4 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-165 / +140
Rays favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Mangum. Marcell Ozuna scores. Matt Olson to 2nd. (inning 6) — -14% Braves
6Junior Caminero homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Taylor Walls scores. Jonathan Aranda scores.3–8
6Jonathan Aranda singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jarred Kelenic. Jake Mangum scores. Taylor Walls to 3rd. Jonathan Aranda to 2nd.3–5
6Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Mangum. Marcell Ozuna scores. Matt Olson to 2nd.3–4
6Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Matt Olson singles on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Christopher Morel. Michael Harris II scores. Marcell Ozuna to 3rd.2–4
6Braves challenged (force play), call on the field was upheld: Michael Harris II grounds into a force out, second baseman Coco Montes to shortstop Taylor Walls. Nick Allen scores. Eli White out at 2nd. Michael Harris II to 1st.1–4
5Christopher Morel singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jarred Kelenic. Yandy Díaz scores. Curtis Mead to 2nd.0–4
4Coco Montes singles on a line drive to right fielder Jarred Kelenic. José Caballero scores.0–3
1José Caballero singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Junior Caminero scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
