Nationals at Marlins
Last play · Josh Bell called out on strikes.
Win probability
Marlins100%
WSH 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 3 – 3 MIA
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Marlins favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Liam Hicks out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Griffin Conine scores. Javier Sanoja to 3rd. (inning 6) — +19% Marlins
9Nathaniel Lowe singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kyle Stowers. Alex Call scores.4–11
8Griffin Conine singles on a line drive to right fielder Alex Call. Kyle Stowers scores. Derek Hill to 3rd.3–11
8Kyle Stowers doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Alex Call. Xavier Edwards scores. Otto Lopez scores.3–10
8Otto Lopez doubles (3) on a fly ball to center fielder Jacob Young. Liam Hicks scores. Xavier Edwards to 3rd.3–8
7Matt Mervis homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Kyle Stowers scores. Derek Hill scores.3–7
6Liam Hicks out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Griffin Conine scores. Javier Sanoja to 3rd.3–4
4Javier Sanoja singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jacob Young. Eric Wagaman scores. Jonah Bride to 2nd.3–3
4Jonah Bride singles on a ground ball to pitcher MacKenzie Gore. Kyle Stowers scores. Eric Wagaman to 3rd.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
