Phillies at Cardinals
Last play · Kody Clemens grounds out to first baseman Willson Contreras.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
PHI 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 2 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-165 / +140
Cardinals favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willson Contreras homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Nolan Arenado scores. (inning 4) — +22% Cardinals
8Jordan Walker homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Willson Contreras scores.0–7
7Lars Nootbaar strikes out swinging.0–5
6Nolan Gorman hits a ground-rule double (2) on a fly ball down the left-field line. Nolan Arenado scores.0–4
6Nolan Arenado doubles (4) on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Brendan Donovan scores.0–3
4Willson Contreras homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Nolan Arenado scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
