Rangers at Mariners
Last play · Josh Jung called out on strikes.
Win probability
Mariners100%
TEX 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 2 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 4.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Mariners favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cal Raleigh homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Jorge Polanco scores. (inning 1) — +17% Mariners
6Randy Arozarena hit by pitch. Julio Rodríguez scores. Jorge Polanco to 3rd. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.1–3
2Dustin Harris homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.1–2
1Cal Raleigh homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Jorge Polanco scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
