Brewers at D-backs
Last play · Jackson Chourio strikes out swinging.
Win probability
D-backs100%
MIL 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 2 – 1 AZ
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
D-backs favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · William Contreras homers (3) on a line drive to left center field. Brice Turang scores. (inning 1) — -22% Brewers
8Alek Thomas singles on a ground ball to right fielder Sal Frelick. Tim Tawa scores. Corbin Carroll scores. Geraldo Perdomo to 3rd.2–5
7Josh Naylor singles on a ground ball to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Corbin Carroll scores. Randal Grichuk to 3rd.2–3
6Tim Tawa out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Josh Naylor scores.2–2
5Pavin Smith strikes out swinging.2–1
1William Contreras homers (3) on a line drive to left center field. Brice Turang scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
