Angels at Astros
Last play · Taylor Ward flies out to center fielder Jake Meyers.
Win probability
Astros100%
LAA 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 2 – 5 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Astros favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Isaac Paredes homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Cam Smith scores. Mauricio Dubón scores. (inning 2) — +26% Astros
7Jose Altuve out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jorge Soler. Mauricio Dubón scores.3–7
6Jeremy Peña grounds into a force out, shortstop Kevin Newman to second baseman Kyren Paris. Christian Walker scores. Victor Caratini out at 2nd. Jeremy Peña to 1st.3–6
6Jorge Soler homers (4) on a line drive to left field.3–5
2Isaac Paredes homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Cam Smith scores. Mauricio Dubón scores.2–5
2Mauricio Dubón singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jo Adell. Jake Meyers scores. Cam Smith to 3rd. Mauricio Dubón to 2nd.2–2
2Cam Smith singles on a line drive to right fielder Jorge Soler. Victor Caratini scores. Jake Meyers to 2nd.2–1
2Nolan Schanuel homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.2–0
1Taylor Ward homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
