Red Sox at Rays
BOS1–
TB16Last play · Trevor Story flies out sharply to center fielder Kameron Misner.
Win probability
Rays100%
BOS 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 15 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Rays favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kameron Misner homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Christopher Morel scores. (inning 2) — +16% Rays
8Kameron Misner homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.1–16
5Junior Caminero homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.1–15
3Christopher Morel doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Junior Caminero scores. Jonathan Aranda scores.1–14
3Jonathan Aranda hits a ground-rule double (7) on a fly ball to center field. Yandy Díaz scores. Brandon Lowe scores. Junior Caminero to 3rd.1–12
3Junior Caminero singles on a ground ball to shortstop Trevor Story. Jake Mangum scores. Yandy Díaz to 3rd. Brandon Lowe to 2nd.1–10
3Yandy Díaz singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Danny Jansen scores. Jake Mangum to 3rd.1–9
3Jake Mangum singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kristian Campbell. Taylor Walls scores. Danny Jansen to 3rd.1–8
3Danny Jansen reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Alex Bregman. Christopher Morel scores. Taylor Walls to 2nd. Fielding error by third baseman Alex Bregman.1–7
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.