Royals at Yankees
Last play · Maikel Garcia lines out sharply to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
Win probability
Yankees100%
KC 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 4 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Yankees favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trent Grisham homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 5) — +22% Yankees
5Austin Wells homers (3) on a line drive to right field.1–4
5Ben Rice homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.1–3
5Trent Grisham homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.1–2
4Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
3Bobby Witt Jr. homers (2) on a line drive to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
