Mets at Twins
Last play · Trevor Larnach called out on strikes.
Win probability
Twins0%
NYM 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 1 – 1 MIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Twins favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis Torrens reaches on a throwing error by pitcher Justin Topa. Mark Vientos scores. Luis Torrens to 2nd. (inning 6) — -15% Mets
7Juan Soto homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Luisangel Acuña scores.5–1
6Luis Torrens reaches on a throwing error by pitcher Justin Topa. Mark Vientos scores. Luis Torrens to 2nd.3–1
6Mark Vientos doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Pete Alonso scores.2–1
5Christian Vázquez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Trevor Larnach scores.1–1
3Pete Alonso singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Luisangel Acuña scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
