Nationals at Pirates
Last play · Dylan Crews grounds out, third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes to first baseman Enmanuel Valdez.
Win probability
Pirates100%
WSH 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 5 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -200
Pirates favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryan Reynolds singles on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood. Oneil Cruz scores. (inning 3) — +12% Pirates
8Isiah Kiner-Falefa singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dylan Crews. Tommy Pham scores. Adam Frazier to 2nd.3–10
8Tommy Pham singles on a ground ball to right fielder Alex Call. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores.3–9
8Ke'Bryan Hayes singles on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Andrew McCutchen scores. Enmanuel Valdez scores.3–8
8Enmanuel Valdez doubles (3) on a ground ball to right fielder Alex Call. Bryan Reynolds scores. Andrew McCutchen to 3rd.3–6
8Keibert Ruiz singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Nasim Nuñez scores.3–5
6Nathaniel Lowe singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. James Wood scores. Nathaniel Lowe to 2nd. Nathaniel Lowe advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by center fielder Oneil Cruz.2–5
6James Wood grounds into a force out, shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa to second baseman Adam Frazier. Nasim Nuñez scores. Alex Call out at 2nd. James Wood to 1st.1–5
5Enmanuel Valdez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Alex Call. Adam Frazier scores. Oneil Cruz scores. Enmanuel Valdez out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Alex Call to catcher Keibert Ruiz to shortstop Nasim Nuñez. Andrew McCutchen to 3rd.0–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
