Red Sox at Rays
Last play · Curtis Mead strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays0%
BOS 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 6 – 2 TB
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Rays favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jarren Duran homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Carlos Narváez scores. (inning 2) — -18% Red Sox
9Yandy Díaz singles on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Jake Mangum scores.7–4
9Taylor Walls grounds out, first baseman Triston Casas to pitcher Zack Kelly. Kameron Misner scores. Jake Mangum to 3rd.7–3
7Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Alex Bregman homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.7–2
4Kameron Misner out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jarren Duran. Junior Caminero scores.6–2
4Alex Bregman doubles (7) on a fly ball to left fielder Christopher Morel. Jarren Duran scores.6–1
3Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jake Mangum. Wilyer Abreu scores. Trevor Story to 3rd.5–1
3Alex Bregman homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.4–1
2Jonathan Aranda homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
