Guardians at Orioles
Last play · Adley Rutschman lines out to left fielder Steven Kwan.
Win probability
Orioles0%
CLE 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 4 – 0 BAL
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Orioles favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Steven Kwan homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Brayan Rocchio scores. (inning 5) — -17% Guardians
8Gary Sánchez singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Ryan Mountcastle scores.6–3
8Ryan Mountcastle doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Gunnar Henderson scores.6–2
7Cedric Mullins homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.6–1
6Steven Kwan singles on a ground ball to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Angel Martínez scores.6–0
6Brayan Rocchio out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Ramón Laureano. Gabriel Arias scores.5–0
5Steven Kwan homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Brayan Rocchio scores.4–0
5Bo Naylor out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Angel Martínez scores.2–0
3José Ramírez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Bo Naylor scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
