Mariners at Reds
Last play · Cal Raleigh flies out sharply to center fielder TJ Friedl.
Win probability
Reds100%
SEA 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 4 – 6 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Reds favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Hays homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Elly De La Cruz scores. Gavin Lux scores. (inning 5) — +40% Reds
8Elly De La Cruz grounds out, second baseman Dylan Moore to first baseman Donovan Solano. Jose Trevino scores. TJ Friedl to 3rd. Matt McLain to 2nd.4–8
8Matt McLain walks. Jake Fraley scores. Jose Trevino to 3rd. TJ Friedl to 2nd.4–7
5Austin Hays homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Elly De La Cruz scores. Gavin Lux scores.4–6
5Gavin Lux singles on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Matt McLain scores. Elly De La Cruz to 3rd. Gavin Lux to 2nd. Throwing error by left fielder Randy Arozarena.4–3
5Dylan Moore homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. J.P. Crawford scores.4–2
3Austin Hays singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Matt McLain scores. Gavin Lux to 2nd.2–2
3Gavin Lux singles on a ground ball to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Jose Trevino scores. Matt McLain to 3rd.2–1
2Dylan Moore singles on a ground ball to left fielder Gavin Lux. Ben Williamson scores. J.P. Crawford to 2nd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
