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Cubs at Padres

CHC4SD10
Final
Inn123456789RHE
CHC0003000104110
SD00100234·10121
Last play · Dansby Swanson grounds out, third baseman Manny Machado to first baseman Luis Arraez.
Win probability
Padres100%
CHC 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
CHC 31 SD
Cubs led after 5
Inning 3: Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (5) on a line drive to left center field.Inning 4: Michael Busch homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Justin Turner scores.Inning 4: Pete Crow-Armstrong doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Nico Hoerner scores.Inning 6: Jose Iglesias singles on a ground ball to pitcher Brad Keller. Manny Machado scores. Gavin Sheets to 3rd. Xander Bogaerts to 2nd.Inning 6: Jason Heyward singles on a ground ball to shortstop Dansby Swanson. Gavin Sheets scores. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd. Jose Iglesias to 2nd.Inning 7: Gavin Sheets singles on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Luis Arraez scores. Manny Machado scores.Inning 8: Miguel Amaya doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Jason Heyward. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.Inning 8: Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (6) on a line drive to left center field. Elias Díaz scores.Inning 8: Luis Arraez homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.Inning 8: Jose Iglesias grounds into a force out, catcher Miguel Amaya to second baseman Nico Hoerner. Manny Machado scores. Xander Bogaerts out at 2nd. Jose Iglesias to 1st.
Padres favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Gavin Sheets singles on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Luis Arraez scores. Manny Machado scores. (inning 7) — +36% Padres

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.