Mariners at Reds
Last play · Jake Fraley grounds out, shortstop J.P. Crawford to first baseman Rowdy Tellez.
Win probability
Reds0%
SEA 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 4 – 0 CIN
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Reds favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Randy Arozarena doubles (5) on a fly ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Julio Rodríguez scores. (inning 1) — -12% Mariners
7Jose Trevino singles on a ground ball to right fielder Luke Raley. Christian Encarnacion-Strand scores.5–3
7Christian Encarnacion-Strand doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Gavin Lux scores. Spencer Steer scores.5–2
7Cal Raleigh homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.5–0
5Cal Raleigh homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.4–0
4J.P. Crawford singles on a line drive to right fielder Jake Fraley. Dylan Moore scores.3–0
2Ben Williamson singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Dylan Moore scores.2–0
1Randy Arozarena doubles (5) on a fly ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Julio Rodríguez scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
