Guardians at Orioles
Last play · Daniel Schneemann called out on strikes.
Win probability
Orioles100%
CLE 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 1 – 4 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Orioles favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jackson Holliday hits a grand slam (2) to center field. Cedric Mullins scores. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Ramón Urías scores. (inning 2) — +31% Orioles
8Ramón Urías out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Angel Martínez. Heston Kjerstad scores.1–9
8Heston Kjerstad singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nolan Jones. Cedric Mullins scores. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Heston Kjerstad to 2nd.1–8
8Ryan O'Hearn homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.1–6
7Ramón Laureano homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–5
3Gabriel Arias homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.1–4
2Jackson Holliday hits a grand slam (2) to center field. Cedric Mullins scores. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Ramón Urías scores.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
