Royals at Yankees
Last play · MJ Melendez lines out sharply to right fielder Cody Bellinger.
Win probability
Yankees100%
KC 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 3 – 3 NYY
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Yankees favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge homers (7) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 7) — +30% Yankees
7Aaron Judge homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.3–4
5Jonathan India grounds out, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Kyle Isbel scores.3–3
5Kyle Isbel triples (1) on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Drew Waters scores.2–3
4Cody Bellinger doubles (1) on a ground ball to second baseman Tyler Tolbert. Oswald Peraza scores. Paul Goldschmidt to 3rd.1–3
3Anthony Volpe doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to left fielder MJ Melendez. Aaron Judge scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.1–2
1Salvador Perez singles on a line drive to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Vinnie Pasquantino to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
