Mets at Twins
Last play · Ty France singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Byron Buxton scores.
Win probability
Twins100%
NYM 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 0 – 2 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Twins favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luisangel Acuña singles on a ground ball to shortstop Willi Castro. Jesse Winker scores. (inning 8) — -26% Mets
10Ty France singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Byron Buxton scores.3–4
8Luisangel Acuña singles on a ground ball to shortstop Willi Castro. Jesse Winker scores.3–3
8Jesse Winker doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder DaShawn Keirsey Jr. Pete Alonso scores.2–3
8Pete Alonso doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Harrison Bader. Francisco Lindor scores.1–3
6Willi Castro singles on a ground ball to first baseman Pete Alonso. Ryan Jeffers scores.0–3
5Byron Buxton singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Harrison Bader scores. Byron Buxton to 2nd.0–2
5Harrison Bader singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Willi Castro scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
