Red Sox at Rays
Last play · José Caballero called out on strikes.
Win probability
Rays0%
BOS 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 0 TB
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Rays favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · David Hamilton homers (1) on a line drive to right field. (inning 3) — -18% Red Sox
3David Hamilton homers (1) on a line drive to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
