Braves at Blue Jays
Last play · Eli White strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
ATL 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 1 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 6) — +21% Blue Jays
9Drake Baldwin homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–3
7Bo Bichette doubles (8) on a ground ball to left fielder Eli White. Myles Straw scores.0–3
6Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.0–2
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Bo Bichette scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
