Tigers at Brewers
Last play · Kerry Carpenter grounds into a double play, shortstop Joey Ortiz to first baseman Jake Bauers. Dillon Dingler out at 2nd. Kerry Carpenter out at 1st.
Win probability
Brewers100%
DET 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 4 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Brewers favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Yelich homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 3) — +12% Brewers
6Sal Frelick homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.1–5
6Spencer Torkelson homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.1–4
3Rhys Hoskins homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Sal Frelick scores.0–4
3Christian Yelich homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.0–2
2Oliver Dunn out on a sacrifice bunt, first baseman Spencer Torkelson to second baseman Andy Ibáñez. Garrett Mitchell scores. Joey Ortiz to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
