Nationals at Pirates
Last play · James Wood lines out to third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes.
Win probability
Pirates100%
WSH 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 1 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Pirates favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Henry Davis homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 5) — +15% Pirates
9Alex Call out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Dylan Crews scores.1–6
7Oneil Cruz hits a grand slam (3) to right field. Enmanuel Valdez scores. Bryan Reynolds scores. Andrew McCutchen scores.0–6
7Henry Davis grounds out softly, third baseman Amed Rosario to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Enmanuel Valdez to 2nd.0–2
5Henry Davis homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
