Astros at Cardinals
Last play · Yainer Diaz lines out sharply to right fielder Victor Scott II.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
HOU 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 3 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Cardinals favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lars Nootbaar homers (3) on a line drive to center field. Victor Scott II scores. Thomas Saggese scores. (inning 5) — +40% Cardinals
6Thomas Saggese doubles (1) on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Jordan Walker scores. Yohel Pozo to 3rd.1–4
5Lars Nootbaar homers (3) on a line drive to center field. Victor Scott II scores. Thomas Saggese scores.1–3
1Isaac Paredes grounds out, second baseman Brendan Donovan to first baseman Alec Burleson. Jose Altuve scores. Jeremy Peña to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
