Red Sox at Braves
Last play · Michael Harris II strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves0%
BOS 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 3 – 1 ATL
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Braves favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trevor Story doubles (4) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Eli White. Rafael Devers scores. Abraham Toro scores. Marcelo Mayer scores. (inning 1) — -28% Red Sox
1Marcell Ozuna homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.3–1
1Trevor Story doubles (4) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Eli White. Rafael Devers scores. Abraham Toro scores. Marcelo Mayer scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
