Rays at Astros
Last play · Junior Caminero strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros100%
TB 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 1 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Astros favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jeremy Peña singles on a ground ball to left fielder José Caballero. (inning 8) — +12% Astros
1Christian Walker singles on a fly ball to left fielder Jake Mangum. Jeremy Peña scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
