Giants at Marlins
Last play · Agustín Ramírez grounds out softly, pitcher Camilo Doval to first baseman Casey Schmitt.
Win probability
Marlins0%
SF 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 4 – 0 MIA
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Marlins favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis Matos homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Casey Schmitt scores. Patrick Bailey scores. (inning 4) — -29% Giants
7Xavier Edwards singles on a ground ball to third baseman Matt Chapman. Eric Wagaman scores. Liam Hicks to 3rd. Javier Sanoja to 2nd.4–2
6Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to center fielder Luis Matos. Xavier Edwards scores. Jesús Sánchez to 2nd.4–1
4Luis Matos homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Casey Schmitt scores. Patrick Bailey scores.4–0
3Wilmer Flores grounds out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Liam Hicks. Heliot Ramos scores. Tyler Fitzgerald to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
