Brewers at Phillies
Last play · Trea Turner pops out to first baseman Rhys Hoskins in foul territory.
Win probability
Phillies0%
MIL 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 1 – 2 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Phillies favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Bauers doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Jackson Chourio scores. William Contreras scores. (inning 7) — -31% Brewers
9Brice Turang singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Joey Ortiz scores.5–2
7Jake Bauers doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Jackson Chourio scores. William Contreras scores.4–2
7William Contreras reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Trea Turner. Caleb Durbin scores. Jackson Chourio to 2nd.2–2
5Jackson Chourio grounds into a force out, third baseman Edmundo Sosa to second baseman Bryson Stott. Joey Ortiz scores. Brice Turang out at 2nd. Jackson Chourio to 1st.1–2
2Kyle Schwarber singles on a ground ball to shortstop Joey Ortiz. Bryson Stott scores. Johan Rojas to 2nd.0–2
1J.T. Realmuto singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Chourio. Trea Turner scores. Nick Castellanos to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
