Nationals at D-backs
Last play · Daylen Lile called out on strikes.
Win probability
D-backs100%
WSH 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 1 – 3 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+185 / -225
D-backs favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Eugenio Suárez homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores. (inning 1) — +16% D-backs
5Nathaniel Lowe singles on a ground ball to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. CJ Abrams scores. James Wood to 2nd.1–3
1Eugenio Suárez homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores.0–3
1Lourdes Gurriel Jr. doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Daylen Lile. Ketel Marte scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
