Cardinals at Rangers
Last play · Alec Burleson grounds out, first baseman Josh Smith to pitcher Luke Jackson.
Win probability
Rangers100%
STL 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 2 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Rangers favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Smith doubles (7) on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Marcus Semien scores. Sam Haggerty scores. (inning 2) — +25% Rangers
8Josh Smith homers (5) on a line drive to right field. Marcus Semien scores.1–8
8Sam Haggerty out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Roddery Muñoz to first baseman Willson Contreras. Jake Burger scores. Marcus Semien to 2nd.1–6
8Jonah Heim out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Lars Nootbaar. Alejandro Osuna scores.1–5
8Jake Burger doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Alec Burleson. Josh Jung scores. Alejandro Osuna to 3rd.1–4
7Wyatt Langford out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Lars Nootbaar. Marcus Semien scores. Sam Haggerty to 3rd. Josh Smith to 2nd.1–3
2Josh Smith doubles (7) on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Marcus Semien scores. Sam Haggerty scores.1–2
1Willson Contreras singles on a line drive to right fielder Sam Haggerty. Lars Nootbaar scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
