Tigers at Royals
Last play · Michael Massey grounds out softly, pitcher Will Vest to first baseman Colt Keith.
Win probability
Royals0%
DET 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 0 KC
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Royals favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gleyber Torres walks. (inning 3) — -14% Tigers
3Gleyber Torres walks.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
