D-backs at Braves
Last play · Sean Murphy grounds out, third baseman Eugenio Suárez to first baseman Josh Naylor.
Win probability
Braves0%
AZ 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 5 – 3 ATL
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Braves favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Corbin Carroll homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 5) — -17% D-backs
9Corbin Carroll homers (18) on a fly ball to center field. Gabriel Moreno scores. Alek Thomas scores.8–3
5Corbin Carroll homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field.5–3
4Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Marcell Ozuna scores.4–3
4Marcell Ozuna reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Eugenio Suárez. Matt Olson scores. Marcell Ozuna to 2nd.4–2
4Drake Baldwin homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.4–1
3Ketel Marte homers (10) on a line drive to right field. Corbin Carroll scores.4–0
2Gabriel Moreno singles on a fly ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Eugenio Suárez scores.2–0
1Ketel Marte homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
