Brewers at Reds
Last play · Jake Bauers flies out sharply to center fielder TJ Friedl.
Win probability
Reds100%
MIL 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 2 – 2 CIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Reds favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyler Stephenson homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Elly De La Cruz scores. (inning 4) — +27% Reds
8Will Benson homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.2–4
7Connor Joe out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Sal Frelick. Jake Fraley scores.2–3
4Tyler Stephenson homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Elly De La Cruz scores.2–2
4Sal Frelick homers (4) on a line drive to right field.2–0
1Christian Yelich singles on a line drive to left fielder Will Benson. Brice Turang scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
