Angels at Red Sox
Last play · Ceddanne Rafaela pops out to first baseman Nolan Schanuel.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
LAA 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 3 – 1 BOS
Angels led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Red Sox favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ceddanne Rafaela homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Trevor Story scores. (inning 6) — +31% Red Sox
10Taylor Ward grounds into a double play, third baseman Abraham Toro to second baseman David Hamilton to first baseman Romy Gonzalez. Zach Neto scores. Nolan Schanuel to 3rd. Mike Trout out at 2nd. Taylor Ward out at 1st.4–3
6Ceddanne Rafaela homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Trevor Story scores.3–3
3Jarren Duran doubles (16) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jo Adell. Connor Wong scores. Kristian Campbell to 3rd.3–1
3Nolan Schanuel singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Chris Taylor scores. Zach Neto scores.3–0
3Zach Neto singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Jo Adell scores. Chris Taylor to 3rd. Zach Neto to 2nd. Throwing error by center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
