Phillies at Blue Jays
Last play · Bo Bichette flies out to left fielder Max Kepler.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
PHI 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 7 – 1 TOR
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trea Turner homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Bryson Stott scores. (inning 1) — -22% Phillies
8Addison Barger homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Alejandro Kirk scores.8–3
8Trea Turner homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.8–1
5Davis Schneider homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.7–1
2Nick Castellanos flies out to right fielder Addison Barger. Bryce Harper scores. Alec Bohm to 2nd. Throwing error by right fielder Addison Barger.7–0
1Bryson Stott singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Myles Straw. Nick Castellanos scores. Max Kepler scores. J.T. Realmuto to 3rd.6–0
1Max Kepler singles on a ground ball to center fielder Myles Straw. Alec Bohm scores. Nick Castellanos to 2nd.4–0
1Bryce Harper homers (9) on a line drive to right center field.3–0
1Trea Turner homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Bryson Stott scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
