Astros at Pirates
Last play · Alexander Canario strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates0%
HOU 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 0 – 0 PIT
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Pirates favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Walker homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 7) — -19% Astros
9Isaac Paredes homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Jeremy Peña scores.3–0
7Christian Walker homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
