Royals at Cardinals
Last play · Nolan Gorman strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
KC 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 8 – 7 STL
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Cardinals favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nolan Gorman homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Alec Burleson scores. (inning 2) — +26% Cardinals
6Maikel Garcia singles on a ground ball to right fielder Alec Burleson. Kyle Isbel scores. Jonathan India scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 3rd.10–7
5Salvador Perez singles on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.8–7
5Vinnie Pasquantino doubles (7) on a line drive to right fielder Alec Burleson. Jonathan India scores. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.7–7
5Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a ground ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Drew Waters scores. Kyle Isbel scores. Jonathan India to 2nd.5–7
5Nick Loftin homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.3–7
3Alec Burleson homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Nolan Arenado scores.2–7
3Nolan Arenado singles on a ground ball to third baseman Maikel Garcia. Brendan Donovan scores. Willson Contreras scores. Nolan Arenado to 2nd. Throwing error by third baseman Maikel Garcia.2–5
3Willson Contreras hits a ground-rule double (11) on a line drive down the left-field line. Masyn Winn scores. Brendan Donovan to 3rd.2–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
